Name of the Project
Pebble copper/gold/molybdenum project.

Location
South-west Alaska, US.

Project Owner/s
Pebble Limited Partnership (PLP), wholly owned by Northern Dynasty Minerals.

Project Description
The Pebble project is the world’s largest undeveloped copper and gold resource. The project’s tonnes, grade, metallurgy and geometry have the potential to support a modern, long-life mine.

The project’s current resource estimate includes 6.44-billion tonnes in the measured and indicated categories containing 57-billion pounds of copper, 70-million ounces of gold, 3.4-billion pounds of molybdenum and 344-million ounces of silver. The inferred category of 4.46-billion tonnes contains 24.5-billion pounds of copper, 37-million ounces of gold, 2.2-billion pounds of molybdenum and 170-million ounces of silver. The deposit also contains palladium and rhenium.

The PLP is proposing to develop the Pebble copper/gold/molybdenum porphyry deposit as an openpit mine, with associated on- and off-site infrastructure, including:
• a 230 MW power plant located at the mine site,
• a 134 km transport corridor from the mine site to a port site on the west side of Cook Inlet,
• a permanent, year-round port facility near the mouth of Amakdedori Creek on Cook Inlet and
• a 303 km natural gas pipeline from the Kenai Peninsula to the Pebble project site.

The proposed mine will operate for about 20 years. This includes 14 years of mining using conventional drill-blast-shovel operations, followed by six years of milling material from a low-grade-ore stockpile. The mining rate will average 90-million tons a year, with 58-million tons of mineralised material being processed through the mill every year for an extremely low life-of-mine, waste-to-ore ratio of 0.1:1.

Mine site facilities will include an openpit mine, tailings storage facilities (TSFs), a low-grade-ore stockpile, overburden stockpiles, quarry sites, water management ponds, milling and processing facilities, as well as supporting infrastructure such as the power plant, water treatment plants, camp facilities and storage facilities.

The openpit will be developed in stages and will eventually be 1 981 m long, 1 676 m wide and between 405 m and 533 m deep. A total of 1.2-billion tons of material will be mined, including 1.1-billion tons to be processed through the mill and 100-million tons of waste rock.

Nonpotentially acid-generating (non-PAG) waste rock will be used as construction material for on-site roads and TSFs embankments. 

A small amount of waste rock considered non-PAG will be stored in a lined low-grade-ore stockpile until mine closure, at which time it will be back-hauled to the openpit for permanent subaqueous storage.

Mineralised material will be processed using conventional froth flotation. On average, the process plant will produce about 600 000 t/y of copper/gold concentrate containing an estimated 287-million pounds of copper, 321 000 oz of gold, 1.6-million ounces of silver and 15 000 t/y of molybdenum concentrate containing about 13-million pounds of molybdenum.

A TSF, located in the North Fork Koktuli drainage, will store 1.1-billion tons of tailings generated over 20 years of mine operations. About 88% will be non-PAG bulk tailings; the remaining 12% will be pyritic PAG tailings, which will be stored subaqueously in a separate, fully lined cell within the TSF. Four TSF embankments, ranging from 18.3 m (east embankment) to 183 m (main embankment) in height, will be developed, with centre-line or downstream construction methods used for all external embankments. A conservative 2.6:1 (horizontal:vertical) slope is targeted to ensure safety and stability under all operating conditions, including for maximum possible flood and seismic events.

Potential Job Creation
The Pebble project will directly employ about 2 000 workers during its four-year construction phase and an estimated 850 workers during its 20-year operations phase.

Net Present Value/Internal Rate of Return
Not stated.

Capital Expenditure
Capital expenditure on Pebble is estimated at between $6-billion and $8-billion.

Planned Start /End Date
Not stated.

Latest Developments
PLP CEO Tom Collier has responded to Democratic Presidential candidate Joe Biden’s statement that he will use a study completed by the Obama-era Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) in 2014 to deny federal permits for the Alaska mine.

Collier said on August 10 that any action by a Democratic administration to challenge Pebble’s federal permits, once granted, would have negative implications for the US’ reputation as a jurisdiction for business investment, even if such an action was subsequently overturned by the courts.

Rather than suggesting a willingness to overturn duly permitted and authorised projects, Collier has said that Biden will be well served to tell Americans how the US can develop domestic sources of copper and other strategic minerals necessary to transition to a lower carbon future.

The US Army Corps of Engineers (USACE) released a final environmental-impact statement (EIS) for the Pebble project in July 2020 and the federal record of decision (RoD) is expected within weeks.

US President Donald Trump has said that he will "listen to both sides" concerning the project. His son, Donald Trump Jr, has opposed the mining project, arguing that the nearby Bristol Bay and surrounding fishery are “too unique and fragile to take any chances with".

Collier has pointed out that prior efforts by the Obama administration to impose regulatory decisions at Pebble in the absence of an EIS or a legally defensible administrative record have previously been stopped by the courts. He has said that any similar action by a future Democratic administration will likely be overturned – particularly given the favourable findings of the Pebble EIS.

Collier has emphasised that the final EIS has demonstrated that Pebble will neither have any measurable impact on Bristol Bay salmon or other fish populations nor on the commercial, subsistence and sport fisheries they support.

With the final EIS complete and an RoD pending, Collier has said that the window for federal decision-making at Pebble is closing. It will be up to the state administration and regulatory agencies to make final permitting decisions.

Key Contracts and Suppliers
Wardrop Engineering (preliminary assessment report).

Contact Details for Project Information
PLP, tel +1 907 339 2600, fax +1 877 450 2600 or email receptionist@pebblepartnership.com.