Business climate to remain in suspense until after elections
The South African Chamber of Commerce and Industry’s (Sacci’s) Business Confidence Index (BCI) declined by 1.6 points month-on-month to 91.8 in March.
The index is also 5.8 points below the March 2018 figure of 97.6.
The rand exchange rate against the major trading and investment currencies, interrupted electricity supply and electricity tariff increases, as well as slowing manufacturing output, were the biggest contributors to the negative trend of the BCI in March, compared with February.
The March readings reflected a depreciation of the rand, higher core inflation and less merchandise import volumes, compared with the previous month. Merchandise export volumes were, however, higher in March.
In the same month, six of the 13 BCI subindices improved month-on-month, while four declined and three remained unchanged.
“The BCI reflects a depressed business climate that is dominated by concerns over continued difficult and uncertain domestic economic circumstances. The upcoming general elections in May add to this uncertainty. Moody’s nonpronouncement of its latest ratings review of the economy provides a short-lived relief from the dreaded fear of a downgrade,” said Sacci.
The chamber added that there were some positive short-term business climate indicators that were a response to efforts and measures by government to grow the economy.
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