With gold industry in state of flux, the next big price move is up, says Rob McEwen
While gold output is in decline owing to falling grades, mine closures and new construction projects being deferred – with the situation compounded by gutted exploration budgets and capital markets being effectively closed for the gold industry – the next big price move could only be up, McEwen Mining chief owner, chairperson and CEO Rob McEwen tells Mining Weekly.
“Gold is cheap and gold shares are very cheap. I think we are at the bottom for gold. More consolidation and rationalisation is to come and today’s biggest producers will be surpassed by new leaders emerging from the midtier.
“These new leaders will have stronger balance sheets, good growth stories and management – more focused on building their shareowners’ wealth first, rather than their personal wealth – will emerge and take the lead,” states McEwen, who is also the founder and former chief executive of the world’s largest gold miner by market capitalisation, Goldcorp.
Despite the public financing market being effectively closed to the gold mining industry, McEwen notes that public companies are essential for entrepreneurs such as himself to provide capital, making dreams and visions a reality. This, in turn, creates employment and generates taxes, wealth and, frequently, large philanthropic contributions to bolster the health, education and welfare of society.
However, one aspect of public markets that McEwen finds increasingly frustrating and disappointing is the continuing proliferation of rules and regulations, which creates confu-sion. In his opinion, financial statements are no longer easy to read or understand, and secur-ities regulations are rendering shareholder com-munications and filings unnecessarily lengthy and obtuse.
“More frequently, they are used by shareowners as doorstops or paper weights [instead of] an information source. “Management and boards are spending far too much time on compliance matters [rather] than on [finding] ways to build value for their shareowners, employees and the communities they operate in. “We have to return to concise, clear communi-cation and rules,” McEwen says.
Another key driver that can accelerate the rate of change in the gold mining industry is the increased involvement of private capital.
“Private capital can be impatient, which is good as it will want the industry to behave differently. It will bring a new set of eyes to old problems, lean hard on existing practices, [and] import attitudes and technologies from other industries that improve productivity [and] profitability,” he says, noting that private capital often wants its money to grow faster than the industry has become used to.
“It is a more demanding source of capital that will enhance the attractiveness of the industry to other investors.”
McEwen has set a strategic goal for McEwen Mining to get into the S&P 500 Index to gain a competitive advantage, as there is currently only one gold company in the index.
“The S&P 500 is a very exclusive group of companies and most companies in the precious metals industry can never get in, even if they meet the high financial requirements for admission. “Since a fundamental requirement is to be an American company, that precludes more than 99% of the industry. However, McEwen Mining can because it is a Colorado-incorporated com-pany,” he boasts.
Of course, being included in the S&P 500 would provide the miner with exposure to a significant pool of capital (more than $1.7-trillion is invested by index funds in S&P stocks), a more stable shareholder base, lower cost of capital, and exposure to the world’s most active market for precious metals companies.
McEwen notes that the historic inertia of the industry is changing. While the current downturn will cause the industry to look for new ways to operate on less capital, he believes that big advances are likely to come from the outside.
For instance, mathematics, enhanced visualisation, automation and autonomous equipment can accelerate the evolution of the industry. “I think we probably need a start-up, something like a Tesla, to come along and be a disruptive force – staffed with bright young technical minds using today’s technology to design mines for today and tomorrow, rather than replicating the mines of 20 years ago,” suggests McEwen.
He says he would also like to see faster discov-eries, quicker permitting, speedier construction, and cheaper mining and processing, with a reduced environmental footprint. Prioritising shareowner wealth over building size will also be welcome in McEwen’s vision for the future.
“Let’s call it ‘guerrilla mining’. We need to figure out how to shorten all the timeframes involved – the discovery process, the permitting, the building, and the payback period – as well as dramatically reduce the capital expenditures and operating expenditures. “In essence, we have to attack the accepted timelines and operating practices of today in order to deliver strong returns of our invested capital. “We have to demonstrate to investors that the industry can make them money,” he asserted.
Meanwhile, McEwen Mining has bolstered its suite of senior managers with the recent appoint-ment of Colin Sutherland its president, the promotion of Andrew Elinesky to senior VP and CFO, and last month’s promotion of Andrew Iaboni to VP for finance.
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