Cochilco cuts copper price projection for 2023 to $3.70/lb
SANTIAGO - The State-owned Chilean Copper Commission (Cochilco) on Wednesday cut its projection for the price of copper for 2023 to $3.70/lb due to greater supply.
The agency in July had estimated a copper price of $3.95/lb in 2023.
"The lower copper price expectation is due to the fact that the supply of the metal would grow by around 3.9%," Mining Minister Marcela Hernando said in Cochilco's statement. "While demand would increase by only 2.4%, causing a significant surplus."
Cochilco's executive vice-president, Joaquin Morales, added that other factors, like "further deterioration of China's growth, more persistent inflation, interest rates at high levels for a prolonged period and a deeper recession than expected in Europe" also contributed to the lower projection.
Cochilco also slightly lowered its 2022 forecast to $3.98, from the average $4.00 it estimated in July.
In addition, the agency projected a production volume for Chile of 5.3-million tonnes of copper for 2022, which is a year-on-year decline of 5.8%. For 2023 the agency projects growth of 7.5% to 5.7-million tonnes.
Chile is the world's largest producer of copper.
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