Bank of America raised its 18-month gold-price target to $3 000/oz – more than 50% above the existing price record – in a report titled “The Fed can’t print gold.”
Analysts including Michael Widmer increased the target from $2 000 previously, as policy makers across the globe unleash vast amounts of fiscal and monetary stimulus to help shore up economies hurt by the coronavirus.
“As economic output contracts sharply, fiscal outlays surge, and central bank balance sheets double, fiat currencies could come under pressure,” the report said. “Investors will aim for gold.”
BofA expects bullion to average $1 695/oz this year and $2 063 in 2021. The record of $1 921.17 was set in September 2011. Spot prices traded around $1 680 on Tuesday and are up 11% this year.
To be sure, a strong dollar, reduced financial market volatility, and lower jewelry demand in India and China could remain headwinds for gold, BofA said.
“But beyond traditional gold supply and demand fundamentals, financial repression is back on an extraordinary scale,” the report said.