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Silver seizes the spotlight following Reddit day-trader frenzy

29th January 2021

By: Bloomberg

  

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A silver frenzy calmed on Friday as investors weigh whether a push by Reddit posters to create a short squeeze has legs.

The entire market -- from miners’ shares to exchange-traded funds and even the physical metal -- has emerged as one of the latest targets of the r/wallstreetbets board now famous for fueling a short squeeze in Gamestop that sent its market value soaring.

Posts encouraged people to pile into IShares Silver Trust, the largest silver exchange-traded fund, and one described it as “THE BIGGEST SHORT SQUEEZE IN THE WORLD”.

“It is true that the combined efforts of those on the Reddit forums can dramatically influence the price of individual stocks, but if you compare the size of the entire silver market to the market cap of the individual companies that forums have recently targeted, we don’t see this as having potential to significantly move silver into a short squeeze scenario,” said John Feeney, business development manager at Guardian Vaults, a Sydney-based dealer.

“Silver’s market cap is too large and those on the forums typically want to see quick gains, so I wouldn’t read into it too much,” he said.

Spot silver was 1% lower at $26.2317/oz by 9:50 a.m. in Singapore on Friday, heading for a monthly loss.

Gold, which was largely spared from Thursday’s trading frenzy, was little changed at $1 843.51/oz. Prices are heading for their biggest January decline in a decade as the dollar strengthened after the Federal Reserve kept its monetary policy unchanged without promising any more aid.

“Gold has tentatively lost its mojo as US stocks resume their climb higher and as ‘little sister’ silver gets an endorsement from the Reddit army of traders,” said Edward Moya, senior market analyst at Oanda. “Gold has weathered waning demand as institutional investors focus more efforts on the recent volatility that stems from the retail traders who are trading heavily shorted stocks and now silver. Gold needs to recapture and hold the $1 850 level otherwise bearish momentum could trigger a tentative plunge below $1 800.”

In other markets, palladium and platinum were steady. Asian stocks followed their US peers higher. The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index rose 0.1% and is heading for its first monthly gain since September.

Edited by Bloomberg

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