When it comes to the future growth of platinum group metal (PGM) producers, some are covering their bases by diversifying into battery metals, while others are looking to benefit from the much-hyped hydrogen economy.

Impala Platinum CEO Nico Muller sees the company’s scope for growth as being more internal at first, focusing on strengthening its existing operations and remaining competitive in future markets.

The company’s longer-term growth plan involves greater local beneficiation, for which it is undertaking feasibility studies, and using cleaner sources of electricity.

Anglo American Platinum CEO Natascha Viljoen, however, admits that the transition happening in mobility brings uncertainty, since PGMs are not used in the production of electric vehicles or their batteries, the exception being hybrids.

However, she is optimistic about PGMs demand in the hydrogen space, as demand for hydrogen in decarbonisation strategies is increasing. She says that more than $70-billion worth of hydrogen development projects have been pledged by governments across the world and that there are plans for 196 MW of electrolyser installations by 2030.

Viljoen believes there is an opportunity for coexistence between battery electric vehicles, hybrids and fuel cell vehicles.

She adds that the PGMs industry has taken market development into its own hands before and says it can do it again – it simply has to develop alternative markets for PGMs to grow demand.

Sibanye-Stillwater CEO Neal Froneman says although the company is aggressively expanding its battery metals strategy, it will not turn its back on PGMs.

Rather, he explains, the company’s entry into the battery metals sector has been a natural evolution for its merger-and-acquisition value creation strategy.

Sibanye has, for years, been planning its strategic diversification approach and is “not simply responding to trends of the moment”.

In five years’ time, Sibanye aims to have a third of its earnings generated by gold, a third by energy metals and a third by PGMs.

Meanwhile, Royal Bafokeng Platinum CEO Steve Phiri says the PGMs industry is “certainly not” a sunset industry and that emerging threats should be seen as opportunities.

He maintains that catalytic converter demand will remain as long as internal combustion engine vehicles are on the market, which, he forecasts, will be the case for years to come.

He says the PGMs industry has always been able to regenerate itself through the ups and downs of commodity cycles and market conditions.

The company will, for the foreseeable future, remain focused on being a pure-play PGMs producer.