Creamer Media Login

Goldman bullish on commodities, seeing years-long supercycle

7th January 2022

Font size: - +

Goldman Sachs Group is “extremely bullish” on commodities, amid a supercycle that has the potential to last for a decade, according to Jeff Currie, the bank’s global head of commodities research.

The new year has started against a backdrop that includes record dislocations in energy, metals and agriculture, and significant amounts of money in the system, Currie said in a Bloomberg Television interview. In addition, investment positions in commodities are low, he added.

“The best place to be right now, particularly given the Fed pivot, are commodities,” Currie said, referring to the US Federal Reserve’s decision to begin hiking interest rates later this year. “We think you’re going to see another year of out-performance of commodities and real assets more broadly.”

Goldman stated in October 2020 that commodities were beginning a supercycle that could last years and possibly a decade. The oil market in particular could tighten, even with the OPEC+ alliance incrementally adding supplies to the market, as the pandemic continues to threaten demand and investment.

The only two countries in the world that can produce more oil today than they could in January 2020 are Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates, Currie said. “Every other country in the world struggles” to hit its pre-pandemic level.

Goldman Sachs’s target price for Brent crude in the first quarter is $85 a barrel, but that was under the assumption that Iranian production would return later in the year -- which is looking increasingly unlikely -- he added. The global benchmark is currently trading around $81 a barrel.

“This market has the potential to get very tight going over the course of next three to six months,” Currie said.

Edited by Bloomberg

Comments

The content you are trying to access is only available to subscribers.

If you are already a subscriber, you can Login Here.

If you are not a subscriber, you can subscribe now, by selecting one of the below options.

For more information or assistance, please contact us at subscriptions@creamermedia.co.za.

Option 1 (equivalent of R125 a month):

Receive a weekly copy of Creamer Media's Engineering News & Mining Weekly magazine
(print copy for those in South Africa and e-magazine for those outside of South Africa)
Receive daily email newsletters
Access to full search results
Access archive of magazine back copies
Access to Projects in Progress
Access to ONE Research Report of your choice in PDF format

Option 2 (equivalent of R375 a month):

All benefits from Option 1
PLUS
Access to Creamer Media's Research Channel Africa for ALL Research Reports, in PDF format, on various industrial and mining sectors including Electricity; Water; Energy Transition; Hydrogen; Roads, Rail and Ports; Coal; Gold; Platinum; Battery Metals; etc.

Already a subscriber?

Forgotten your password?

Click Here

MAGAZINE & ONLINE

➕

RESEARCH CHANNEL AFRICA

➕

CORPORATE PACKAGES

CLICK FOR A QUOTATION

➕