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Global production of iron-ore decreases
 
23rd July 2010
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The ‘Iron-Ore Market 2009 to 2011’ report, produced by the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (Unctad) Trust Fund Project on iron-ore information, states that, after seven years of consecutive growth, global production of iron-ore decreased 6,2% in 2009, reaching just under 1,6-billion tons, with output decreasing in most countries except in some major producing countries such as South Africa, Australia and India, all of which had a production increase.

In the developed market economies, iron-ore production fell by 10,5%, while Australian and South African production rose by 13%. India had the fastest-growing production at just over 15%.

Brazil recorded a decrease of 6,7%, while China produced 234-million tons of iron-ore, marking a 20% decrease since 2008, states the Unctad report.

Developing countries accounted for less than 59% of the world’s iron-ore production in 2009, while the Commonwealth of Independent States accounted for 12% and the industrialised economies for 29% of production.
The report states that, despite the decline last year, the production of iron-ore has grown by 65% since 2000, an increase of 628-million tons.
Meanwhile, international iron-ore trade grew, as exports increased by 7,4%, reaching 955-million tons, with developing countries accounting for 49% of the total exports in 2009 and developed countries accounting for 51% of the exports.

Australia’s exports increased by 17%, reaching a total of 363-million tons in 2009. Exports from India also increased by some 9%, while Ukraine exports increased by 21%, and exports from South Africa by 36%. Markets in Europe and the US declined, with Brazil decreasing by 3%, states the report.

Further, China had imports of 628- million tons, which is an increase of 41%. Almost all other countries’ imports fell: Japan’s imports decreased by 25%; the Republic of Korea’s imports decreased by 15% and European imports by 45%.

Developing countries were responsible for almost 76% of the total imports in 2009.

Unctad believes that, owing to the developments of the first few months of 2010, this year will see an increase in iron-ore production when compared with figures for 2009, mainly because of devel- opments in China.

The Chinese crude steel production during the first four months of 2010 was 213,9-million tons, resulting in an increase of 25% for the corresponding period in 2009. The imports of iron-ore in the first quarter were up by 18% to reach 155-million tons, compared with only 131,5-million tons in the first quarter of 2009.

Japanese imports in the first three months of this year were 32,4-million tons, while 2009 saw only 22,6-million tons; and Brazilian imports are up by 21%, reaching 62,6-million tons, the report concludes.

Edited by: Shannon de Ryhove

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WORLD PRODUCTION
(source: cumulus)
Unctad believes that, owing to the developments of the first few months of 2010, this year will see an increase in iron-ore production compared with 2009
 
Picture by: cumulus
WORLD PRODUCTION (source: cumulus) Unctad believes that, owing to the developments of the first few months of 2010, this year will see an increase in iron-ore production compared with 2009
 
IN DEMAND
(source: cumulus)
The  Chinese crude steel production has increased by 25% in the past four months
 
Picture by: cumulus
IN DEMAND (source: cumulus) The Chinese crude steel production has increased by 25% in the past four months
 
 
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Facts
The benchmark iron-ore price negotiation process ended in early 2010 without any negotiations between the Chinese and the so-called ‘Big Three’ producers, global mining groups Vale, Rio Tinto and BHP Billiton, reaching a formal conclusion. The ‘Iron-Ore Market 2009 to 2011’ report, produced by the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (Unctad) Trust Fund Project on iron-ore information, states that, after several months of trying to reach an agreement, the negotiations ended quietly and the Chinese buyers used the prices agreed on by the Japanese steel workers and others. A growing number of Chinese supplies were bought on the spot market. The main factor in causing the previous system to collapse was the strong demand for more iron-ore in China. When the prices fell in late 2008 and in early 2009, domestic iron-ore producers could not deliver as much iron-ore as they had done earlier and imports increased significantly. The report states that BHP Billiton has been a prime advocate for a spot price system, while Vale has been trying to maintain the benchmark system and Rio Tinto has been leaning in both directions. Vale announced in early 2010 its intention of using a quarterly pricing model. The new price establishment model has brought uncertainty and reduced transparency in the iron-ore market. Prices are no longer announced as they used to be and the published series of spot prices is still not 100% reliable. There is still a long way to go before iron-ore prices are set on a completely transparent exchange under full control against any type of manipulations, says the Unctad report. The spot price of exports to China is used as a basis for pricing in all parts of the world. The effects of the latest pricing mechanisms are not clear yet but it is unlikely that the new model should have any definitive effect on price levels, however, the company believes that volatility will increase. The full integration of a new pricing model is likely to take years and there will probably be several models in use simultaneously, the company concludes.